I have several reasons for presenting this page, one being the recent vote in the House of Parliament on Syria; one on the imminent withdrawal from Afghanistan in 2014, and in the same year, the start of four years celebrating WW1 and those who served their nations at that time.
My theme will be
STATISTICS IN WAR
and what they tell us about the killing game, and are they all gathered on a level playing field?
Before I begin, I offer my hearty congratulations to all MP's who voted against the UK effectively entering Syria's civil war, borne out so we are told by over 70% of the Nation agreeing with them - I am one of them! Excellent decision, and it is about time common sense was the lead-card played in the House despite the fact that the vote created precedents in the House, one of which being the first PM ever to lose a war-vote. I am a Tory, but I say BZ to the Opposition Front Bench for their guts in parrying the war-monger vote. I also note that name HAIG/HAUGE [however spelt] and note three in particular: our Foreign Secretary William HAUGE; the British Commander of the BEF [British Expeditionary Force] 1915-1918 Douglas HAIG, and U.S. General and Secretary of State to President Ronald Reagan, Alexander HAIG who did not impress Mrs Thatcher one iota during his UK Visit at the time of the Falklands Conflict. All three were/are war mongers and in my book at least, all three have failed in that role! To me, that fellow Yorkshireman William Hauge is a huge international embarrassment to our Nation.
If the USA goes ahead with their threat to punish Syria and take the French with them instead of the UK, then so be it, for it is far better a Frenchman dies and far better a Euro is wasted on ammunition and war preparedness than a Briton dying and our precious Sterling being squandered again and for what, when it is sorely needed here back home for peaceful means?
I am going to start by asking you whether you have noticed our soldiers coming back from Afghanistan still wearing their working rig on our streets and whist off duty shopping in our stores? I ask, because in my time, to be seen wearing our working rig [No8's] outside our dockyards and fleet establishments was not only a punishable offence, but a fool hardy thing to do because it marked us out as potential targets to our enemies, as did the wearing of our blue uniforms of course! That statement might bemuse you and lead you to ridicule the observation, but were I to remind you that in a period lasting 38 years [1969-2007] wherein many of the years saw a ban of uniform in civilian environments, 1441 British Service Personnel lost their lives, compared with a period of 12 years where the desert uniform became the uniform of UK's streets, 444 have lost their lives. Averaging out, the former case saw on average 38 fatalities a year and so too does the latter case. The former case was the long campaign in Northern Ireland against various factions of the IRA and the latter case against the Taliban and al Qaeda in Afghanistan. Why therefore, do present day soldiers strut around as though they are something very special, iconic heroes, when in reality, our example, and many more examples yet to come, show them statistically to be no more than ordinary soliders? Moreover, I'll wager that the worst type of IRA man is equal in every way to a zealot Islamic murderer, although I am not aware of an al Qaeda fighter entering the streets of a town like Guildford to murder civilians and particularly women and children as did the Irish and on more than one occasion. Like for like, act for act, death for death, it could be argued that the IRA were a much more feared enemy than any Arab as ever been, and yet this goes unnoticed, unsung and unrecorded. At the end of the day and despite all the tears, hand-wringing, and dashed aspirations, the crushing of the IRA [or was it a voluntary capitulation?] was not only a worthwhile case and attainable [as it proved to be] whereas Afghanistan is a lost cause and always was. It's livelihood [if that is apt in their case] is the dreaded poppy and the ruination that it manifests in the West. The growers of the poppy are subjugated dirt farmers and the sellers are the omnipotent Taliban/al Qaeda who rule with instruments of threat and death. When we leave, no matter what is said, the parts of the country which have responded to NATO/ISAF 'pressure' will be immediately returned to the Afghan of old [pre NATO/ISAF, pre USSR and maybe a few more pre's], and the war-lords domiciled in their cosy surroundings in pro-terrorist Pakistan will once again frequent the plains and fields on which the hand-to-mouth poppy farmers exist, or die!
Dealing with fatalities in the Armed Forces has to have a datum point on which to measure the numbers, the circumstances and the weeks/months/years in the campaign. We are about to use that standard from hereonin.
Those criteria are set inside a "medal earning theatre" and the information following. Deaths not subjected to a theatre of war for which a Queens Medal has been awarded, are not included [if any] in my statistics which are the result of a FOI Request made by me in late summer 2013 to the MOD. If the FOI Request is granted [cost factor exceeding £600 GBP may rule it out as being too expensive and over budget set by the Government for the Act] then as well as answering to the request directly to the person involved, the answer is also promulgated in the 'FOI Disclosure Log' on the website of the Department answering the question.
Deaths since World War II
1.
Defence Statistics
compiles the Department’s authoritative deaths
database for all UK Armed
Forces personnel who died whilst in Service going back to 1984. Information
is compiled from several internal and external sources from which we release a
number of internal analyses and external National Statistics Notices.
2.
For data prior to
1984, Defence Statistics have access to the Armed Forces Memorial (AFM) database
owned by the tri-Service Joint Casualty and Compassionate Centre. The AFM
database was created in order to identify Service personnel whose names were to
be, and continue to be engraved on the Armed Forces Memorial at the National
Arboretum in Staffordshire. The AFM database records the deaths of all personnel
who have died in Service since 1st Jan 1948, and for those who were killed or
who died in Palestine from 1st Aug 1945 to 31st Aug 1948. Please note, the AFM
database is not regarded as a validated source of historical fatality
information, therefore, it cannot
be guaranteed to be 100% complete or accurate due to it being populated manually
from Service files.
With those field defined for us, we can begin to look at all FATALITIES since the end of WW2.
The first table [1] shows UK Armed Forces Deaths by medal earning theatre for the period 1945 until the 1st September 2013.
In this period 7136 souls perished in all theatres, which I will show in death rate order.
Since World War II, 7,136 UK Armed Forces personnel have died as a result of or during conflict, where conflict has been defined as a medal earning theatre, see Table 1 below. These deaths include those who died as a result of natural causes and accidents as well those who died as a result of hostile action.
THESE ARE OFFICAL BRITISH MOD STATISTICAL DATA FIGURES AND AS SUCH, ARE THE NUMBERS RECORDED IN CENTRAL GOVERNMENT RECORDS. See also the asterisk at the foot of the page*
No | Medal Theatre | Medal | Date Range | Number of Fatalities |
1 | Malaya | GSM | 16 June 1948 - 31 July 1960 | 1443 |
2 | Northern Ireland 3 | GSM | 14 August 1969 - 31 July 2007 | 1441 |
3 | Korea 1 [UN] | UN | 27 June 1950 - 27 July 1954 | 1130 |
4 | Palestine | GSM | 3 September 1945 - 30 June 1948 | 754 |
5 | Afghanistan 4 | OSM | 11 September 2001 - to date | 444 |
6 | Canal Zone | GSM | 16 October 1951 - 19 October 1954 | 405 |
7 | Cyprus | NGSM | 1 April 1955 - 18 April 1959 | 358 |
8 | South Atlantic [Falklands] | 2 April 1982 - 12 July 1982 | 237 | |
9 | Iraq 4 | 20 January 2003 - 22 May 2011 | 178 | |
10 | South Arabia | GSM | 1 August 1964 - 30 November 1967 | 160 |
11 | Borneo | GSM | 24 December 1962 - 11 August 1966 | 140 |
12 | Kenya | AGSM | 21 October 1952 - 17 November 1956 | 94 |
13 | Balkans 4&5 | 1 July 1992 - to Present Day | 72 | |
14 | Arabian Peninsular | GSM | 1 January 1957 - 30 June 1960 | 60 |
15 | Yangtze | NGSM | 20 April 1949 - 31 July 1949 | 45 |
16 | Gulf 1 | GSM | 2 August 1990 - 7 March 1991 | 45 |
17 | Malaya Peninsular | GSM | 17 August 1964 - 11 August 1966 | 40 |
18 | Dhofar | GSM | 1 October 1969 - 3 September 1976 | 25 |
19 | Near East [Suez] | NGSM | 31 October 1956 - 22 December 1956 | 24 |
20 | Radfan | GSM | 25 April 1964 - 31 July 1964 | 13 |
21 | Brunei | GSM | 8 December 1962 - 23 December 1962 | 7 |
22 | Rhodesia | 1 December 1979 - 20 Mar 1980 | 5 | |
23 | Air Ops Iraq | 16 July 1991 - 30 April 2003 | 5 | |
24 | Sierra Leone | OSM | 5 May 2000 - 31 July 2002 | 5 |
25 | Congo | ONUC | 10 July 1960 - 30 June 64 | 2 |
26 | Cyprus 2 | UNIFCYP | 27 Mar 1964 - to Present | 2 |
27 | Cambodia | UNAMIC/UNTAC | 1 October 1991 - 30 September 1993 | 1 |
28 | Libya | 9 March 2011 - 31 October 2011 | 1 |
Notes:
1.
Includes:
2.
As at 31 December
2012.
3.
Amended from
previous publications due to Defence Statistics (Health) validation exercise on
all
4.
As at 1 September
2013.
5.
Includes: the
Former Yugoslavia (NATO FRY) 1 July 1992-31 December 2002; Sarajevo Airlift (UN)
3 July 1992 – 12 January 1996; Georgia (UNOMIG) 23 August 1993 to present;
Kosovo (NATO) 13 October 1998 – 31 December 2002; Kosovo (UNMIK) 10 June 1999 to
present; Macedonia (NATO) 1 June 2001 – 31 December 2002 and Balkans (NATO) 1
January 2003 to present. To
identify which deaths occurred on specific operations relating to activities in
the Balkans, individual Service records would need to be examined, as such MOD
presents the information under the overarching category ‘Balkans’.
6.
The medals are
awarded as:
GSM – General Service
Medal
NGSM – Naval General
Service Medal
AGSM – Army General
Service Medal
OSM – Operational Service
Medal
No | CAMPAIGN | DURATION IN MONTHS | FATALITIES | SEVERITY SCORE - LOSSES PER MONTH OF CAMPAIGN |
1 | South Atlantic [Falklands] | 3.75 | 237 | 63.20 |
2 | Yangtze | 1.25 | 45 | 36.00 |
3 | Korea | 49 | 1330 | 27.14 |
4 | Palestine | 36.5 | 754 | 20.65 |
5 | Brunei | 0.5 | 7 | 14.00 |
6 | Near East [Suez] | 2 | 24 | 12.00 |
7 | Canal Zone | 36 | 405 | 11.25 |
8 | Malaya | 157.5 | 1443 | 9.16 |
9 | Cyprus | 52.75 | 358 | 6.79 |
10 | Gulf 1 | 7.75 | 45 | 5.81 |
11 | South Arabia | 43.25 | 160 | 3.70 |
12 | Northern Ireland | 456 | 1441 | 3.16 |
13 | Afghanistan | 144 | 444 | 3.08 |
14 | Borneo | 47.25 | 140 | 2.97 |
15 | Kenya | 49 | 94 | 1.92 |
16 | Malaya Peninsular | 24.0 | 40 | 1.67 |
17 | Iraq | 107.75 | 178 | 1.65 |
18 | Arabian Peninsular | 42 | 60 | 1.43 |
19 | Rhodesia | 4.0 | 5 | 1.25 |
20 | Radfan | 29.5 | 13 | 0.44 |
21 | Balkans | 252 | 72 | 0.29 |
22 | Dhofar | 90.25 | 25 | 0.28 |
23 | Sierra Leone | 29.25 | 5 | 0.17 |
24 | Libya | 7.0 | 1 | 0.14 |
25 | Congo | 51.5 | 2 | 0.04 |
26 | Cambodia | 24 | 1 | 0.04 |
27 | Air Operations Iraq | 166.25 | 5 | 0.03 |
28 | Cyprus 2 | 594.75 | 2 | 0.003 |
The longest campaign by far is Cyprus 2 at 594.75 months [ 49.5 years] and the shortest is Brunei at just two weeks duration. The 1982 Falklands Campaign was the most vicious with the highest severity score whilst Cyprus 2 has the lowest at just 0.003 deaths per month. Despite all the hype, note how low the Iraq and Afghanistan severity scores are! My three campaigns score pretty well in the top half of the division!
Again, despite the chief killer in Afghanistan, viz, the IED [Improvised Explosive Device], the largest IED was detonated by the IRA at Warren Point Northern Ireland on the 28th August 1979 killing all eighteen soldiers in a reconnaissance patrol vehicle, and on the same day, the IRA also used a radio controlled IED to destroy the pleasure boat being used by Lord Mountbatten and his family plus friend, in a day of carnage with unparalleled infamy. It was known that the IRA were supported, sometimes trained and financed by terrorist organisations in third world countries, from places like Syria, Libya, Iraq and Iran. Their skill in making and deploying IED's came mainly from Islamic states, both Arab and Iranian, the same skills employed by al Qaeda and the Taliban in Afghanistan today. America, during this same period, took sides with Saddam Hussein of Iraq in his fight against Iran's Grand Ayatollah Khomeini, supplying gas weapons [it was thought sarin, nerve and mustard] and the technology to deliver them on the battlefield killing many hundreds of thousands of Iran's young men. America certainly had blood on their hands and all in the name of securing oil rights, revenues and privileged dealing. Now, today, September 2013, the USA wants to attack Syria for using these terrible weapons of war which the West had previously supplied to many unstable despotic rulers in the Middle East including to Syria, and the UK is believed to have brokered supply deals with President Assad, It is claimed that the weapons were not delivered, but that is academic for the intent was there in the first place, and supplier must in some way or other be implicit in their use.
Now whilst I have many statistics and data on injuries sustained in Iraq and Afghanistan both on Service Personnel and on Official Civilians in the War Zone for the last twelve years to date 1st August 2013, I have very few on the injuries sustained associated with other Campaign's in Table 1 above. The ones I do have, are almost totally devoid of civilian data, and yet I remember vividly wives of Service Personnel being shot dead in the streets of Nicosia Cyprus [by cowardly Greek EOKA gun men] whilst out shopping and also other atrocities against Westerners stationed in foreign parts, there to support our Armed Forces. I believe there is little point in publishing Iraq and Afghanistan injuries in isolation, save to mention the worst year in twelve in that theatre [Afghanistan] whose figures were:-
Year 2010
All injuries and all illnesses
Total Numbers : 1711
Battle Injuries : 562
Non-Battle Injuries : 523
Natural Causes : 623
Disease or Non-Battle Injuries : 2
Unknown : 1
On that point of viewing extremely interesting national data, I bade you farewell and thanks for your visit.
* Added to these numbers are the treatment of service personnel within that severity score. In many cases medical technology has bettered the lot of many of the survivors which with the newly legislated Armed Forces Covenant makes it a little easier for those who survive. Add to that the repatriation programme for those who died whilst abroad for whatever reason whilst on active service, a privilege not afforded to the loved ones in many of these campaigns listed in Table 1 above, and a home-coming home-burial much cherished by grieving loved ones. In my time in the Services [1953-1983 with the exception of the war dead of the Falklands War of 1982] I hold nothing but utter contempt for the Admiralty and subsequently the MOD [N[ {Ministry of Defence Navy} officials whose attitude towards the deaths which occurred on 'foreign fields' was nothing short of reprehensible: there are many words which would explain my feelings towards these people, many of whom are still alive, the decent amongst them lamenting their involvement, but I will keep my composure. Suffice for me to tell you that there are scores of examples in official records in this regard of refusing to fund the repatriation costs. Each example is verbose and long winded, but juxtaposed with these records {now collecting dust} are the newspaper reports of the day. I have chosen just two such publications both coming from the Times Newspaper, not known to 'rake the dirt', but to report using responsible and accurate journalism which has long sold their papers to discerning readers of the press. I have chosen these two examples [from many as I have said], the first showing the irrational meanness of the Government and the second, the vulgar and flippant use of tax payers money, designed to ingratiate the admirals with the men of the Fleet. Read into them what you will: men of these times [prior to 1982] stand accused of forsaking the fallen, a hideous and unforgiving crime, akin in many ways to facing the accusation of being anti-remembrance, rather like a person who defiles our national religion being accused of anti-Christ behaviour. Modern thinking, modern times, have set precedence's for the future treatment of our war dead [and severely injured] and never again will a corpse be left in alien territory, almost as an embarrassment to the British Government of the day. Both these reports are from the 1960's editions.
In the following item £6 8s = £6 GBP and 40p. Today, in 2013, that equates to, by civil aircraft, to "Cheap lights" by Trip Advisor of £732 GBP return.
......and yet another form of cruelty [when compared with the repatriations of the 21st century was this type of report also from the 1960's.:
Way back in 1902, this was the thinking even on the welfare of men. It is taken from an article concerning the Naval movements and Intelligence.
I could quite literally fill this page with like or similar stories, for there are so many cases of a time in our history where injustices abounded, a time which if brought back to today, would cause a rebellion amongst the present-day, well cared for [perhaps over much in some cases where the word 'molly-cuddled' might be appropriate] population. My best example follows!
Remember 1958 and the Munich air crash, or disaster as it is frequently called? In that crash, twenty three souls lost their lives which was exceedingly sad, the more so for the City of Manchester specifically the Manchester United team and supporters. However, because some of these dead were "stars", the UK went into mourning and the media was taken over for several weeks. Even today, some fifty five years on, this event and these men are remembered, manifest in the yearly anniversary match at Old Trafford. Quite naturally, all the bodies were brought back home for burial, some feted as dead heroes'.
I won't ask you if you can remember an even greater disaster body-count-wise, where fifty souls perished, which occurred in 1956. It wouldn't be fair, for how are you to know as an individual when the State can't even answer the question! It too was an air disaster involving a commercial airliner [as in the case of Munich]. The opening paragraph of the story below says it all {which I have paraphrased} "will be buried in Malta UNLESS NOK CAN PAY FOR ALL THE EXPENSE INCURRED IN REPATRIATION BACK HOME FOR BURIAL". If anyone was a 'hero' it was the 45 service men returning home from ACTIVE DUTY in the Middle East, not some person adept at kicking a ball-of-air around a park, and relative to these lowly airmen, well paid for doing so. The saddest part of the whole thing is not that these men perished unknown to the nation, but that the nation long ago forgot their efforts in the Middle East campaign. That crash was in February 1956, and eight short months later, I was in the Suez Canal involved in yet another Middle East campaign. That too is forgotten as are the men who fought and died there!
From Singapore records comes this file. Talk about the absurd to the ridiculous?
First, move your mouse pointer toward the text 'The Straits Times, 1 February 1966, Page 1'.
See also this page which is highly relevant http://godfreydykes.info/WHY_DO_WE_BRING_BACK_OUR_DEAD_SERVICE_MEN_AND_WOMEN.htm
See also this file http://www.britains-smallwars.com/ and in particular see my postings under ADEN [The Aden Withdrawal] and under SUEZ [SUEZ, A Communications Overview and Do you Remember CTF 345 and with it CTF 311?]
PS. Maybe of some important note.
I live under a restricted air space in the East which bars all civilian flights [like a Purple Air Space for Royal Flights] which feeds the massive airfields of East Anglia notably RAF Mildenhall and RAF Lakenheath with large USAF assets - an exciting place to park-up and observe! This afternoon [5th September 2013] there appears to be a build-up of heavy noisy big aero planes transiting our skies! I wonder whether it has anything to do with a preparation for Syria?